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gwern comments on Overcoming the Curse of Knowledge - Less Wrong
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Interesting post, but one of your commenters was right, I think - at least, I thought I knew all the active PBers, and you don't seem to be one of them.
I'm mostly been using it to track my predictions about the winner of each football game, but have my preferences set to leave predictions private.
As expected, I'm inappropriately confident at most levels of "confidence feeling" except the very high levels, where my accuracy can be more attributed to luck and a small sample size.