malthrin comments on 5 Second Level: Substituting the Question - Less Wrong

20 Post author: malthrin 28 October 2011 12:20AM

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Comment author: billswift 28 October 2011 09:20:38AM 0 points [-]

I was going to point out that in this case substituting the question was actually rational behavior. There is no way of knowing what is going to happen in the next six months to influence it, it could be positive or negative, but whatever does will adjust his popularity from whatever it is right now; so whatever his popularity is right now will probably be a better prediction of what it will be in six months than whatever fantasy either a supporter or opponent might come up with.