ike comments on Anthropic decision theory I: Sleeping beauty and selflessness - Less Wrong
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This is actually correct, assuming her memory is wiped after each time.
No! Her credence in "This is the first (or xth) time I've been awakened in Tails" is 1/1000000. Her credence in "this is Tails" is ~1.
What would you put the probability of it being the xth question, x ranging from 1 to 1 1,000,000?