Normal_Anomaly comments on 2011 Less Wrong Census / Survey - Less Wrong

77 Post author: Yvain 01 November 2011 06:28PM

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Comment author: [deleted] 01 November 2011 01:12:07AM 4 points [-]

I predict high average IQ, but low response rate on the IQ question, which will give bad results.

I predict with 70% certainty that we will get an IQ in the range of 140-145 again, though I think it will be a bit lower than last time. I'm very surprised if it's outside 130-150.

(Also took the survey. Would like more "other" options so I can ramble about my totally different opinions on many issues, but whatever.)

Comment author: Normal_Anomaly 01 November 2011 01:40:08AM *  2 points [-]

I predict with 70% certainty that we will get an IQ in the range of 140-145 again

Awesome. I said my IQ was 140 and 50% probability that I was higher than average, because I figured I'd be almost exactly average.

Comment author: pedanterrific 01 November 2011 01:49:21AM 0 points [-]

(I hope you didn't actually put "140ish", right?)

I'm actually surprised the lower bound on the previous survey was 120. I would have figured more of a U-shaped curve.

Comment author: Normal_Anomaly 01 November 2011 10:36:25AM 0 points [-]

I put 140. Fixed.

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