pragmatist comments on 2011 Less Wrong Census / Survey - Less Wrong

77 Post author: Yvain 01 November 2011 06:28PM

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Comment author: Gedusa 01 November 2011 02:00:08AM 0 points [-]

I didn't think of that - given that a huge chuck here have probably taken such tests, if Yvain allowed such an estimation, it would be very helpful.

excluded-middle bias

Yes! That's what I was thinking of :)

Comment author: pragmatist 01 November 2011 03:45:19AM 5 points [-]

I've never taken an IQ test, so when I was responded to the survey I considered estimating my IQ based on my SAT and GRE scores. The result, according to the site torekp linked to, is surprisingly high (150+). I think I'm smart, but not that smart. Anyone have any idea if these estimators should be trusted at all?

Comment author: Mark_Eichenlaub 02 November 2011 05:52:47AM *  3 points [-]

GRE quantitative scores are not useful for high-IQ estimates because 6% of people get perfect scores.

A perfect GRE verbal score is roughly the 99.8th percentile, as can be inferred from the charts in this pdf: http://www.ets.org/Media/Tests/GRE/pdf/994994.pdf It shows that the percent of people with a perfect scores varies between less than 0.1% and 1.5%, depending on field, but it is usually 0.1% or 0.2%. (The 1.5% field was philosophy.) Because many non-native English speakers take the test, it's likely that one ought to adjust that percentile a bit lower.

That's among people applying to grad school, which is a higher-IQ group than the general population, but not by so much that 99.8th percentile among grad school applicants correlates to the 99.996th percentile among the general population, as that site (http://www.iqcomparisonsite.com/GREIQ.aspx) claims. That would be impossible assuming more than one in fifty people in the applies to grad school.

If we attribute a perfect GRE score to the 99.8th percentile, then looking up that percentile on the chart on the same page, we get an IQ score >142 for 1600 on the GRE.

Comment author: dbaupp 03 November 2011 12:47:41PM 1 point [-]

http://www.ets.org/Media/Tests/GRE/pdf/994994.pdf.

That link should probably point to this (without the dot at the end).

Comment author: Mark_Eichenlaub 04 November 2011 09:12:06AM 0 points [-]

thanks

Comment author: Nornagest 01 November 2011 09:21:20PM *  3 points [-]

I've only got the one data point, but my tested IQ is within a couple points of what that site predicts from my SAT score. I took the tests almost a decade apart, though, so this could be coincidental; scores for both tests aren't that stable over that kind of timeframe, I don't think.

Comment author: Viliam_Bur 01 November 2011 01:20:06PM 3 points [-]

I think I'm smart, but not that smart.

What is your evidence?

I am not trying to convince you either way, but in my experience people aren't very good at estimating their own IQ.

Comment author: pragmatist 01 November 2011 07:10:17PM *  0 points [-]

My IQ according to the estimator would put me in the 99.995th percentile, but it seems to me that at least 5% of my friends and acquaintances are at least as smart as me. Part of this is probably selection bias, but I doubt that could account for it completely. I don't move in particularly exalted circles.

EDIT: If you had asked me to estimate my IQ before I consulted the website, I would have said 135. I'd probably still say that, actually. I'm guessing the GRE-to-IQ conversion is useless above some ceiling.

Comment author: Normal_Anomaly 01 November 2011 09:32:39PM 2 points [-]

My (limited) background knowledge is that SATs, GREs, etc. are designed for people near the average, and give imprecise results for the highest IQs. You're probably in that range the tests aren't very good for.

Comment author: Vaniver 01 November 2011 08:05:59PM 2 points [-]

I wouldn't trust it. My GRE estimated IQ by that is wildly higher than my professionally measured IQ.

Also check out:

Note: Mensa considers that scores from after January 31, 1994, "No longer correlate with an IQ test."

Comment author: thomblake 01 November 2011 07:24:29PM 1 point [-]

Anyone have any idea if these estimators should be trusted at all?

The scores are highly correlated. One must assume those charts are from a reliable source. So... yes?

Comment author: pragmatist 01 November 2011 07:34:18PM 2 points [-]

Does the correlation remain if you conditionalize on, say, having an IQ higher than 130?

Comment author: thomblake 01 November 2011 02:44:31PM 1 point [-]

but not that smart

Well, not with that attitude.