When you talk about AI, do you mean general intelligence, as in being competent in arbitrary domains (given enough computing power), or narrow AI, which can succeed on some classes of tasks but fail on others? I would certainly agree that narrow AI does not need to be goal-directed, and the future will surely contain many such AI. And maybe there are ways to achieve general intelligence other than through a goal-directed architecture, but since that's already fairly simple, and all of our theories and existing examples point towards it, it just seems very unlikely that the first AGI that we build won't goal-directed.
Given enough computing power, humans can create a haphazardly smart jumble of wires by simulated evolution
So far, evolution has created either narrow intelligence (non-human animals) or general intelligence that is goal-directed. Why would simulated evolution give different results?
uploading small chunks of human brains and prodding them
It seems to me that you would again end up with either a narrow intelligence or a goal-directed general intelligence.
I see no reason why all such creatures would necessarily have an urge to stabilize their values.
Again, if by AI you include narrow AI, then I'd agree with you. So what question are you asking?
BTW, an interesting related question is whether general intelligence is even possible at all, or can we only build AIs that are collections of tricks and heuristics, and we ourselves are just narrow intelligence with competence in enough areas to seem like general intelligence. Maybe that's the question you actually have in mind?
What is the difference between what you mean by "goal-directed AGI" and "not goal-directed AGI", given that the latter is stipulated as "competent in arbitrary domains (given enough computing power)"? What does "competent" refer to in the latter, if not to essentially goal-directedness, that is successful attainment of whatever "competence" requires by any means necessary (consequentialism, means don't matter in themselves)? I think these are identical ideas, and rightly so.
I have stopped understanding why these quotes are correct. Help!
More specifically, if you design an AI using "shallow insights" without an explicit goal-directed architecture - some program that "just happens" to make intelligent decisions that can be viewed by us as fulfilling certain goals - then it has no particular reason to stabilize its goals. Isn't that anthropomorphizing? We humans don't exhibit a lot of goal-directed behavior, but we do have a verbal concept of "goals", so the verbal phantom of "figuring out our true goals" sounds meaningful to us. But why would AIs behave the same way if they don't think verbally? It looks more likely to me that an AI that acts semi-haphazardly may well continue doing so even after amassing a lot of computing power. Or is there some more compelling argument that I'm missing?