hairyfigment comments on Existential Risk - Less Wrong

28 Post author: lukeprog 15 November 2011 02:23PM

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Comment author: timtyler 15 November 2011 08:05:47PM *  21 points [-]

On September 26, 1983, Soviet officer Stanislav Petrov saved the world.

Allegedly saved the world. It actually seems pretty unlikely that the world was saved by Petrov. For one thing, Wikipedia says:

There are varying reports whether Petrov actually reported the alert to his superiors and questions over the part his decision played in preventing nuclear war, because, according to the Permanent Mission of the Russian Federation, nuclear retaliation is based on multiple sources that confirm an actual attack.{2}.

Comment author: hairyfigment 20 November 2011 09:10:41AM 6 points [-]

Very interesting. But the standard account says that Russian authorities were afraid of American attack at the time, and likely to make the wrong decision regardless of standard procedure. So the parent by itself doesn't address the relevant claim.

Also, the Wikipedia quote made it sound like Petrov might have reported sighting missiles after all (perhaps with a disclaimer). This is neither cited nor credible. If one of his superiors arguably saved the world by following protocol, high probability Putin's people would have mentioned it in their press release.