TheOtherDave comments on Why an Intelligence Explosion might be a Low-Priority Global Risk - Less Wrong

3 Post author: XiXiDu 14 November 2011 11:40AM

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Comment author: TheOtherDave 14 November 2011 09:18:49PM 1 point [-]

I don't have a clear sense of how dangerous a group of amoral fast-thinking miniature Isaac Newtons might be but it would surprise me if there were a particularly important risk-evaluation threshold crossed between 70 million amoral fast-thinking miniature Isaac Newtons and a mere, say, 700,000 of them.

Admittedly, I may be being distracted by the image of hundreds of thousands of miniature Isaac Newtons descending on Washington DC or something. It's a far more entertaining idea than those interminable zombie stories.

Comment author: TimS 14 November 2011 09:58:27PM *  0 points [-]

You are right that 1% of the world population is likely too large. I probably should have said "substantial numbers in existence." I've adjusted my estimate, so amoral Newtons don't worry me unless they are secret or exist (>1000). And the minimum number gets bigger unless there is reason to think amoral Newtons will cooperate amongst themselves to dominate humanity.

Comment author: Logos01 15 November 2011 03:27:28AM 2 points [-]

I don't think the numbers I was referencing quite came across to you.

I was postulating humans:AGIs :: 1:10,000

So not 70,000 Newtons or 70 million Newtons -- 70,000 Billion Newtons.