timtyler comments on Criticisms of intelligence explosion - Less Wrong

15 Post author: lukeprog 22 November 2011 05:42PM

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Comment author: timtyler 22 November 2011 10:38:03PM *  0 points [-]

Well, the Flynn effect will not go on forever. I never claimed anything about elite subpopulations. Effective intelligence has also long been increasing via machine-based intelligence augmentation, though - and that trend will eventually dominate.

Comment author: gwern 22 November 2011 10:46:59PM 3 points [-]

Well, the Flynn effect will not go on forever. I never claimed anything about elite subpopulations.

If the explosion has already stopped in some populations, then whence the present tense in "Actually, the intelligence explosion has been in progress for a long time now - and effective intelligence is already increasing with unprecidented rapidity."

Shouldn't that have read, "Actually, the intelligence explosion was in effect for a long time, and effective intelligence had increased with unprecedented rapidity."?

Comment author: timtyler 23 November 2011 12:04:11AM *  3 points [-]

So: by "effective intelligence" I'm mostly talking about man plus computer systems. People are quite a bit smarter if they can use a camera, a net connection and have their test processed by a test-solving sweatshop. Expert systems are rising above human capabilities in many domains - in the form of large data centres.