Comment on Criticisms of intelligence explosion

Thu, 24 Nov 2011 03:22:47 GMT

p(x) = 1/x isn't an integrable function

Which is why I said a log-normal prior would be more reasonable.

My real objection is more that it's pretty unlikely that we really have so little information that we have to quibble about which prior to use.

How much information do we have? We know that we haven't managed to build an AI in 40 years, and that's about it.

We probably have enough information if we can process it right, but because we don't know how, we're best off sticking close to the prior.

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