Konkvistador comments on [POLL] LessWrong group on YourMorals.org - Less Wrong

33 Post author: InquilineKea 29 November 2011 01:22AM

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Comment author: [deleted] 28 November 2011 04:00:40PM *  12 points [-]

The "political belief-bias" version of the "reasoning styles study " is awesome, precisely because how mind-killing it can be for people. I'd have it a LW norm that people always have to disclose their score when commenting on such issues. Though I might not be the best man to promote such a norm since I do admit I was pleased on getting a perfect score on resistance to both "liberal" and "conservative" belief bias.

:D

To bad the we can't pick and do the other versions of the test after we solve the one we got assigned.

Spoilers:: V jnf nyfb unccl jvgu YrffJebatre'f vzcerffvir erfvfgnapr gb pbafreingvir oryvrs ovnf, ohg dhvgr qvfnccbvagrq jvgu vgf snvyher ba yvoreny oryvrs ovnf. Sbe Onlrf fnxr jr jurer oneyrl orggre guna "yvorenyf" naq tbg fbhaqyl orngra ol "pbafreingvirf"! Gur A ng gur gvzr V ynfg ybbxrq ng guvf erfhyg jnf 11, vs V nz ernqvat gur erfhygf evtug, juvpu vfa'g zhpu, jr'yy frr vs gur erfhyg punatrf nf zber YJref gnxr vg.

I'm accordingly updating my probabilities of how reliable LW is on certain implicitly ideological issues.

Comment author: thomblake 29 November 2011 01:01:20AM 5 points [-]

Sadly, I was assigned to the 'formal logic' version, so merely learned that I'm still a perfect logician.

Comment author: Tripitaka 30 November 2011 03:45:58AM 1 point [-]

There is actually a trick that you can use to retake a survey:

If you look at the URL of the feedback page for the survey you want to re-take, it contains "_process" in its URL. If you delete that section of the URL, you should be brought back to the original survey page.

Comment author: [deleted] 30 November 2011 05:06:07AM 1 point [-]

Oh, thank you! There were a handful that I took a long (I presume, since I don't remember) time ago, and I was wanting to take them again to see if I had changed any.

As an aside: Do you guys generally match up pretty well with the LW average, or is there a big divergence? (I'm wondering about the standard deviation here).

Comment author: Dreaded_Anomaly 28 November 2011 08:49:24PM 5 points [-]

It will be difficult to make this an LW norm when assignment to that version of the study is random. I was assigned to the "belief bias" portion, so I do not have a score for the political bias section.

Comment author: [deleted] 28 November 2011 10:26:08PM *  0 points [-]

I know. But this is an academic exercise, surely the study will eventually be described and analysed in great detail. It would not be difficult to make our own version of it.

Comment author: Dreaded_Anomaly 29 November 2011 01:16:42AM 2 points [-]

Ah, I had taken your suggestion as meant to be implemented immediately.

Comment author: Bugmaster 30 November 2011 07:00:56AM 2 points [-]

According to the study, I am completely immune to bias. So, either I am a paragon of pure reason and a physical embodiment of the Platonic ideal (*); or the study is a bit too loose with its metrics. Or maybe I just got lucky, that's possible as well.

(*) Assuming such a thing exists at all, which it does, because I embody it. QED.

Comment author: [deleted] 30 November 2011 07:31:13AM *  4 points [-]

Perfect score obviously means immune to political bias, heh. Yes you're right. This study does count as evidence (in the Bayesian sense naturally) that biases are relatively small though.

But there is an even bigger problem. People with eclectic politics might not identify with either mainstream left or mainstream right, disliking both their positions. Their may be fanatical and politically biased on something that dosen't map very well to the left-right scale, or they may be just so far left or right that regular positions basically don't seem that different.

In other words the study may be bad at measuring bias in political outliers. High IQ correlates with less moderate political opinions btw.

Comment author: Bugmaster 30 November 2011 07:34:58AM 2 points [-]

High IQ correlates with less moderate political opinions btw.

That's interesting -- do you have a source for that ?

Comment author: [deleted] 30 November 2011 07:51:31AM 6 points [-]

It supposedly correlates because low IQ people are more likley to be moderate, or at lease less likley to identify with labels such as conservative or liberal.

There was one study that I can't seem to find on a quick google, but using WORDSUM from the GSS as a proxy for IQ, Razib Khan from Gene expression gets basically the same result.

Comment author: Antisuji 29 November 2011 06:13:08AM 1 point [-]

"jr jurer oneyrl orggre"?

Also, not to brag or anything, my resistance to both biases was, like yours, 100%.

Comment author: [deleted] 29 November 2011 08:21:15AM *  0 points [-]

Erfhygf unir punatrq jvgu n ynetre fnzcyr (52). Jr abj frrz gb or ernfbanoyl orggre guna pbafreingvirf ng erfvfgvat yvoreny oryvrs ovnf. Ohg gur eryngvir qvssrerapr orgjrra bhe erfvfgnapr naq gung bs vagrerfgrq cnegvfnaf vf fgvyy zhpu fznyyre guna bhe yrnq jura vg pbzrf gb pbafreingvir ovnf.

V ubcr zl cbfg unfa'g fxrjrq erfhygf! V pna vzntvar fbzrbar hc ibgvat be ernqvat gur ebg13 cneg bs zl cbfg svefg orsber qbvat gur fheirl.

Also, not to brag or anything, my resistance to both biases was, like yours, 100%.

You have to admit it felt at least a little bit good to have that result. :)

Comment author: faul_sname 28 November 2011 07:32:59PM 1 point [-]

Oddly, I get a score of 100 resistance to liberal bias, but only 82 on conservative. This is odd because I'm exposed to the liberal worldview far more.

I was not aware I had that bias, thank you for pointing out that survey.

Comment author: gwern 24 December 2011 01:37:48AM 0 points [-]

Gur A ng gur gvzr V ynfg ybbxrq ng guvf erfhyg jnf 11, vs V nz ernqvat gur erfhygf evtug, juvpu vfa'g zhpu, jr'yy frr vs gur erfhyg punatrf nf zber YJref gnxr vg.

So what do you think now? The reasoning-styles graph looks quite different to me now with 89 LW results in; could your top-sorted comment have caused gaming of it?

Comment author: [deleted] 24 December 2011 08:25:24AM 0 points [-]

My comment was upvoted to +12, so it is possible it did indeed have a measurable effect, but considering that's a far larger sample of LW readers, I would tend to say the result is probably more accurate, at least for the set of LW readers. I wish we had better data from the survey on how lurkers differ from posters, at least we have a sort of usable karma distribution for non-zero values.

Comment author: Normal_Anomaly 29 November 2011 10:51:30PM 0 points [-]

I got the regular belief bias version, but I got a perfect score on it. Does that count for anything?

Comment author: [deleted] 30 November 2011 08:03:45AM *  1 point [-]

Of course it does! It is at least some evidence that you are probably less biased in a particular way than average.

Comment author: gwern 29 November 2011 12:19:55AM 0 points [-]

Was that the gun control one?