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daenerys comments on 5 Axioms of Decision Making - Less Wrong
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Upvote :-)
Followup questions spring to mind... Is there standard software for managing large trees of this sort? Is any of it open source? Are there file formats that are standard in this area? Do any posters (or lurkers who could be induced to start an account to respond) personally prefer particular tools in real life?
Actionable advice would be appreciated!
A while back I took a class called Aiding and Understanding Human Decision Making. It was a lot like this (aka not really my thing, but ces las vie). I don't remember what software we used. I remember the software confused the dickens out of me, and I preferred just running all the various algorithms by hand. Don't remember what it was though.
Do to my intense powers of Google-fu, I found the class website, but it's been updated since I took it. Mentions both @Risk and Crystal Ball
Actually, it looks like before the current prof taught it, it was taught by a different prof. His course site is here and includes links to lots of good articles (that you don't need access to databases to view)
ETA: On further examination, that class website is older (rather than newer) than the class I took and slightly different (the one I took was HFE 890 in 2010 I think. That website is HFE 742 in 2006), so the software mentioned might be similarly outdated.