Louie comments on 5 Axioms of Decision Making - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (60)
Subjective probabilities are inconsistent in any model which includes Peano arithmetic by straightforward application of Gödel's incompleteness theorems, which is essentially any non-finite model.
Most people here seem to be extremely unwilling to admit that probabilities and uncertainty are not the same thing.
Did you mean to say incomplete (eg, implying that some small class of bizarrely constructed theorems about subjective probability can't be proven or disproven)?
Because the standard difficulties that Godel's theorem introduces to Peano arithmetic wouldn't render subjective probabilities inconsistent (eg, no theorems about subjective probability could be proven).