Karmakaiser comments on Open Thread: December 2011 - Less Wrong

6 Post author: Tripitaka 01 December 2011 06:59PM

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Comment author: Karmakaiser 01 December 2011 08:49:23PM *  25 points [-]

I'm not sure if it is "worth saying" but a google search for "Secret Bayesian Man" turned up nothing so I wrote this:

ET Jaynes was a 1000 year old vampire

Inspired Cog Sci, AI and Eliezer.

The Probabilities,

Is something that we'll see.

Given that we have the same priors.

Secret Bayesian Man,

Secret Bayesian Man,

You update your beliefs,

Based on the evidence. (2x)

A grandmaster of Bayesian Statistics

He'll straighten out your bias and Heuristics

You'll be Less Wrong than most

You'll take a "Rational Approach..."

Given that we have the same priors

Secret Bayesian Man

Secret Bayesian Man

You update your beliefs,

Based on the evidence. (2x)

Aumann states we must come to agreement

If we have common knowledge with no secrets

Our posteriors must be the same

Or one of us is to blame

Given that we have the same priors.

I deeply apologize.

Comment author: MixedNuts 01 December 2011 08:54:45PM *  3 points [-]

Odds (20:1) are you will live to regret having written something so ridiculous.

Comment author: Karmakaiser 01 December 2011 08:56:19PM 26 points [-]

My 9th Grade Teen Titans Fanfic is still on the internet.

Game on.

Comment author: Karmakaiser 24 September 2013 03:08:48AM 1 point [-]

Still not regretting, what do I win?

Comment author: [deleted] 02 December 2011 03:59:28AM 1 point [-]

You'll take a "Rational Approach..."

That was a nice touch.

Comment author: lessdazed 02 December 2011 03:49:59AM 1 point [-]