MileyCyrus comments on "Ray Kurzweil and Uploading: Just Say No!", Nick Agar - Less Wrong

4 Post author: gwern 02 December 2011 09:42PM

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Comment author: MileyCyrus 03 December 2011 08:11:50AM *  2 points [-]

I, and I suspect the entire human species, is risk averse. Suppose I have to choose between to bets:

A: 50% chance of living 100 happy years. 50% chance of living 100 torture years.

B: 50% chance of living 1,000,0000 happy years, 50% chance of living 1,000,000 torture years.

I will pick the first because it has the better bad option. While additional happy years have diminishing additional utility, additional torture have increasing dis-utility. I would rather a 50% chance of being tortured for 10 years than a 10% chance of being tortured for 50 years.

When WBE is invented, the stakes will be upped. The good possibilities get much better, and the bad possibilities get much worse. As a risk averse person, this scares me.

Comment author: FAWS 03 December 2011 12:35:07PM 2 points [-]

Would you prefer

C: 50% chance of living 1 happy minute. 50% chance of living 1 torture minute.

over both? If not, why not?

Comment author: Oligopsony 03 December 2011 03:19:31PM 1 point [-]

At those ratios, absolutely. I'm not sure how to explain why, since it just seems obvious that suicide would be preferable to a 50% chance of being tortured for a century. (I'm not sure at what what ratio it would become a real dilemma.)