gwern comments on 2011 Survey Results - Less Wrong

94 Post author: Yvain 05 December 2011 10:49AM

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Comment author: gwern 05 December 2011 04:31:38AM 1 point [-]

I was kind of hoping most LWers at least had heard of the Great Silence/Fermi controversy, though.

Comment author: NancyLebovitz 05 December 2011 04:17:14PM 0 points [-]

Maybe there should be a question or two about the Fermi paradox.

Comment author: wedrifid 05 December 2011 04:40:14AM *  0 points [-]

The bigger problem to me seems that both the numbers (galaxy and universe) are way too high. It seems like it should be more in the range of "meta-uncertainty + epsilon" for both answers. Maybe "epsilon * lots" for the universe one but even that should be lower than the uncertainty component.