SilasBarta comments on 2011 Survey Results - Less Wrong

94 Post author: Yvain 05 December 2011 10:49AM

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Comment author: SilasBarta 05 December 2011 08:26:18PM *  2 points [-]

That gives .44 odds non-existence in universe, 1.43 odds non-existence in galaxy, a ratio of 3.24, or 1.70 more bits of evidence for no (non-human) life in the galaxy compared to the universe in general.

And I forget why those two answers are allowed to be different...

EDIT: I made an error in the first calculation; as I suspected, the values are symmetric.