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Unnamed comments on 2011 Survey Results - Less Wrong
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Comments (513)
The calibration question was more complicated to analyze, but now I've looked at it and it seems like core members were slightly more accurate at estimating the correct year (p=.05 when looking at size of the error, and p=.12 when looking at whether or not it was within the 20-year range), but there's no difference in calibration.
("He", btw.)