albert comments on [Link] How to Dispel Your Illusions - Less Wrong

25 [deleted] 06 December 2011 02:46PM

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Comment author: albert 06 December 2011 10:29:51PM 2 points [-]

Can anyone link to me a website that tests my confidence accuracy? I'm looking for the sort of test where you answer random questions giving your range of probability of being right, and preferably at the end of the test it will give you a graph comparing your estimates of confidence with actual prediction results, and if the lines perfectly match then you get are perfectly calibrated (neither over nor under confident in your skills).

Comment author: JenniferRM 07 December 2011 12:40:16AM 1 point [-]

Its not exactly as you requested, but the Test Your Calibration article might be helpful for quick feedback. Also, prediction book is a website that does something similar over time, with a calibration curve report built in, which is reported to be educational if used over time :-)

Comment author: albert 07 December 2011 02:34:10AM 1 point [-]

Thanks!