Sure, "as a believer in prediction markets" you want one thing, "as a supporter of various policies" I wish Romney had talked about those, "as a fan of absurd sci fi noire" I wish Romney had smoke coming out of his ears lighting his hair on fire and then did not noitce and continued to talk like a programmed robot.
I would imagine that the strongest analysis of stuff said in that debate would come from signalling theory. What are these guys trying to signal, what might they be signalling unintentionally? As a guy who looks at signaling AND as a fan of the absurd, I like the rich mormon robot trotting out bets of $10,000 the way the rest of us might bet a 6-pack of beer.
For those who don't follow politics, Mitt Romney offered to bet Rick Perry $10,000 that Perry had misquoted Romney. (video)
Most political commenters see the move as a gaffe. They claim the bet made Romney look out of touch, because it reminded voters that Romney is rich enough to afford $10,000.
As a believer in prediction markets, I am disappointed in the public's reaction. Romney made a bold move by making his beliefs pay rent. Critics point out that $10,000 is "chump change" for Romney, but Romney still but himself at risk. If he had lost the bet, Perry could have made a production about cashing a $10,000 check from a disgraced Romney. Besides, if money were the issue, Perry could have countered with a non-monetary bet. "Loser has to attend the next debate in a clown suit" or something.
If politicians had to face real consequences every time they made a false statement, they would have a larger incentive to tell the truth. It's a shame Romney's bet probably won't catch on.
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This post is not an endorsement of Mitt Romney or his politics. All I am endorsing is political betting.