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marc comments on Whining-Based Communities - Less Wrong
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Is it possible that humans, with their limited simulation abilities, do not have the mental computational resources to simulate an irrational persons more effective beliefs?
This would mean that the 'irrational' course of action would be the more effective.
Even if they can't model their behaviors like they do for normal people, that doesn't mean there is some systematic way of rationally predicting their behaviors.