shokwave comments on two puzzles on rationality of defeat - Less Wrong

4 Post author: fsopho 12 December 2011 02:17PM

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Comment author: shokwave 13 December 2011 04:00:44AM 1 point [-]

The formulations of "logical omniscience is a problem for Bayesian reasoners" that I have seen are not sufficiently worrying; actually creating a Dutch Book would require the formulating party to have the logical omniscience the Bayesian lacks which is not a situation we encounter very much.

Comment author: antigonus 13 December 2011 04:46:57AM 0 points [-]

Sorry, I'm not sure I understand what you mean. Could you elaborate?

Comment author: shokwave 14 December 2011 06:36:56AM 0 points [-]

It's just that logical omniscience is required to quickly identify the (pre-determined) truth value of incredibly complicated mathematical equations; if you want to exploit my not knowing the thousandth mersenne prime, you have to know the thousandth mersenne prime to do so, and humans generally don't encounter beings that have significantly more logical knowledge.