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DanielLC comments on Measures, Risk, Death, and War - Less Wrong
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I don't have a lot to add to the article itself, but on the subject of rock, paper, scissors, I've found it quite illuminating to play this game (I've played more than 20 games at least 4 times, and still not finished in the lead once), and quite surprising just how predictable people must be for this algorithm to be so successful.
I played by taking the digits of pi modulo three. Some humans have good random number generators.
I forgot to take out one of the digits, though.