David_Gerard comments on Prediction is hard, especially of medicine - Less Wrong

47 Post author: gwern 23 December 2011 08:34PM

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Comment author: tgb 24 December 2011 01:17:55PM 3 points [-]

The harm from delayed treatment is estimated to be around an order of magnitude larger than the damage prevented by FDA standards. The FDA's current position is far too cautious.

Do you have any source for this? I'd be interested in reading it.

Comment author: David_Gerard 24 December 2011 06:03:32PM 3 points [-]