army1987 comments on Prediction is hard, especially of medicine - Less Wrong
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IAWYC, but
I don't think that would work. Marijuana is already illegal but people smoke it anyway, and the war against it costs lots of money.
I've heard that lots of people start smoking for signalling purposes (some people even claim it's the only reason why anyone starts smoking at all), and I'm not sure e-cigarettes would send exactly the same signals.