Konkvistador comments on Prediction is hard, especially of medicine - Less Wrong

47 Post author: gwern 23 December 2011 08:34PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (47)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: [deleted] 16 February 2012 08:45:58PM 0 points [-]

Meh. I'm agnostic about whether it was "on purpose". Humans revolt and so select for governments that aren't revolting.

I think that selection filter is much weaker than most imagine. The poor don't revolt.

but I don't think that's particularly relevant if we agree about the facts on the ground.

Agreed.