satt comments on Prediction is hard, especially of medicine - Less Wrong

47 Post author: gwern 23 December 2011 08:34PM

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Comment author: satt 03 March 2012 03:45:19PM 0 points [-]

Also if people really cared about how long other people in their country lived, total cigarette ban would be a super simple and super cheap way to start [...] And trans fat ban [...]

The lack of these bans doesn't mean people don't really care about lifespan; it could just mean they value something else more, such as the autonomy represented by being able to smoke cigarettes or eat trans fats. Or (as implied by some of this comment's siblings) they don't think those measures work well enough to justify whatever the bans' anticipated downsides.