= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
Lawliet comments on The Most Important Thing You Learned - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (83)
If my priors are right, then genuinely new evidence is a random walk. Especially: when I see something complicated I think is new evidence and think the story behind it is obviously something confirming my beliefs in every particular, I need to be very suspicious.
http://www.overcomingbias.com/2007/08/conservation-of.html
http://www.overcomingbias.com/2007/09/conjunction-fal.html
http://www.overcomingbias.com/2007/09/rationalization.html