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army1987 comments on Summary of "The Straw Vulcan" - Less Wrong
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In situations where spending too much time to choose is worse than choosing sub-optimally in a short time, then guessing is rational. It's addressed by SVP#2 in the post. Being “rational” in your sense of the word in such a situation is failing the twelfth virtue.
That is what I was saying. sometimes the rational course of action, which is to guess in situations like that, will get you the wrong answer pretty consistently, not that that course of action is irrational.
I assume you read "the wrong answer" as referring to the choice to guess rather than the outcome of the guess.