I agree with Grognor -- that interview is beyond unhelpful. Even calling it an interview of SIAI is incredibly misleading. (I would say a complete lie). Holden interviewed the only visitor at SI who was there last summer who wouldn't have known anything about the organizations funding needs. Jasen was running a student summer program -- not SIAI. I would liken it to Holden interviewing a random boyscout somewhere and then publishing a report complaining that he couldn't understand the organizational funding needs of Boy Scouts of America.
Also, keep in mind that GiveWell is certainly a good service (and I support them) but their process is limited and is unable to evaluate the value of research. In fact, if an opportunity to donate as good as Singularity Institute existed, GiveWell's methodology would blind them to the possibility of discovering it.
Carl Shulman pointed out how absurd this was: If GiveWell had existed 100 years ago, they would have argued against funding the eradication of smallpox. Their process forces them to reject the possibility that an intervention could be that effective.
I'm curious about the new GiveWell Labs initiative though. Singularity Institute does meet all of that program's criteria for inclusion... perhaps that's why they started this program... so that they aren't forced to overlook so many extraordinary donation opportunities forever.
Carl Shulman pointed out how absurd this was: If GiveWell had existed 100 years ago, they would have argued against funding the eradication of smallpox. Their process forces them to reject the possibility that an intervention could be that effective
To clarify what I said in those comments:
Holden had a few posts that 1) made the standard point that one should use both prior and evidence to generate one's posterior estimate of a quantity like charity effectiveness, 2) used example prior distributions that assigned vanishingly low probability to outcomes f...
** cross-posted from http://singinst.org/2011winterfundraiser/ **
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ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE MORE RELEVANT THAN EVER
Recent books like Machine Ethics from Cambridge University Press and Robot Ethics from MIT Press, along with the U.S. military-funded research that resulted in Governing Lethal Behavior in Autonomous Robots show that the world is waking up to the challenges of building safe and ethical AI. But these projects focus on limited AI applications and fail to address the most important concern: how to ensure that smarter-than-human AI benefits humanity. The Singularity Institute has been working on that problem longer than anybody, a full decade before the Singularity landed on the cover of TIME magazine.
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