Quinn comments on Can you recognize a random generator? - Less Wrong

2 Post author: uzalud 28 December 2011 01:59PM

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Comment author: Quinn 29 December 2011 02:44:08AM 0 points [-]

p(just one 1) = 1/2^9; A whole heap more likely!

Actually p(just one 1) = 10/(2^10).

if you role two six sided dice you are just as likely to get two sixes as you are to get a three and a five.

Nitpick: this is true if by "a three and a five" you mean (that the dice are labeled and) "die A comes up 3, and die B comes up 5", but it's false as written (and in games like Settlers, the identities of simultaneously thrown dice are not tracked).

Comment author: wedrifid 29 December 2011 03:21:12AM 0 points [-]

(and in games like Settlers, the identities of simultaneously thrown dice are not tracked).

They are tracked actually, at least in the latest version - the only one worth playing. The red one determines whether or not you qualify for a bonus card. So yes, obviously I mean "a three and then a 5". If also considering a five and then a three then the point becomes even stronger.

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