Craig_Heldreth comments on Are Yearly/Monthly Book Suggestion Threads a Good Idea? - Less Wrong

-2 Post author: RobertLumley 29 December 2011 04:52PM

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Comment author: Craig_Heldreth 29 December 2011 06:40:34PM 3 points [-]

Here is the link to the freakonomics post for those interested. I thought it was OK. You might also be interested in the works of Bill James. Bill James was doing freakonomics and cognitive bias analysis back in the early 1980's, selling his Bill James Baseball Abstract self-published to a list of subscribers gathered by word-of-mouth. He is the man most responsible for the state of modern Major League Baseball statistical analysis--the emphasis of On Base Percentage, the de-emphasis of pitchers' Won-Loss totals and a number of other changes and innovations.

I tried to argue in this post that the collection of large numbers of baseball player performance statistics and the incessant analysis towards meaning and reliability of them by fanatics make them as good a raw data set on human performance we have anywhere. The prediction accuracy of Las Vegas sports bookmakers may well be the singular most successful prediction market anywhere at anytime.

Comment author: Vaniver 29 December 2011 08:33:08PM 0 points [-]

If you like movies, Moneyball is recent and about sabermetrics.