Thomas comments on New Year's Prediction Thread (2012) - Less Wrong

20 Post author: gwern 01 January 2012 09:35AM

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Comment author: Thomas 02 January 2012 03:04:32PM 8 points [-]

The year report for the 2012 of the SIAI will be approximately the same as for the 2011. No essentially new things mentioned. Confidence 0.9.

At least one event as important as Watson Jeopardy! will be announced by IBM or some other organization. Confidence 0.8.

Comment author: Thomas 01 January 2013 01:15:08PM 0 points [-]

The year report for the 2012 of the SIAI will be approximately the same as for the 2011. No essentially new things mentioned. Confidence 0.9.

AFAIK, I was right.

At least one event as important as Watson Jeopardy! will be announced by IBM or some other organization. Confidence 0.8.

SPAUN, Siri, real time video translations ... I was right.