FAWS comments on New Year's Prediction Thread (2012) - Less Wrong

20 Post author: gwern 01 January 2012 09:35AM

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Comment author: FAWS 02 January 2012 03:47:53PM 10 points [-]

Incorrect, since nyan_sandwich's post lacks the asterix after the posting time marking an edited post.

Comment author: orthonormal 04 January 2012 12:36:14AM -1 points [-]

Solvent didn't edit ver comment, either. Solvent's point was that, a year from now, Costanza can just say that nyan_sandwich made up a fake quote.

Comment author: FAWS 04 January 2012 02:06:51AM 0 points [-]

Solvent didn't edit ver comment, either.

irrelevant, presence or absence of the asterix for the quoted post is what matters.

Solvent's point was that, a year from now, Costanza can just say that nyan_sandwich made up a fake quote.

Not at anywhere near the same level of plausibility. Lack of asterix means definite proof that the quote is fake.

Comment author: orthonormal 04 January 2012 03:15:41AM -1 points [-]

Lack of asterix means definite proof that the quote is fake.

I could find a comment of yours that you edited after publishing, and comment a fake "quote of the original" on it.

See, I agree that having an unedited comment is very important for verifying predictions later- but nyansandwich's comment won't count to a future reader as infallible evidence of what Costanza once said. The future reader must consider the possibility that nyansandwich was lying.

(Of course, ve wasn't. But we're all being pedantic here.)

Comment author: orthonormal 04 January 2012 03:16:35AM 3 points [-]

Dammit, I forgot that the underscore in nyan sandwich's name would translate into italics. And for obvious reasons, I ain't editing that comment.

Comment author: FAWS 04 January 2012 03:52:22AM -1 points [-]

So what? None of that impacts my point that the relation between the two comment pairs in question is not symmetric in the way originally implied.