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orthonormal comments on New Year's Prediction Thread (2012) - Less Wrong
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Comments (339)
Do you need to have an actual probability? Do you have to bet anything to post predictions? Do you have to be on PredictionBook.com?
Because this seems cool, but I'm not sure...?
You can predict however you like. Predictions with numbers are preferred, but not required. There's a fairly good chance that gwern will make a PredictionBook post out of one of your numeric predictions.