Lleu comments on New Year's Prediction Thread (2012) - Less Wrong

20 Post author: gwern 01 January 2012 09:35AM

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Comment author: Anubhav 08 January 2012 12:26:06PM *  37 points [-]

There will be a major war, starting in the Middle East. Israel will lose (75%). China will probably join in on the radical-Muslim side. Iran will try to use its nukes but they will be duds. Israel will not use theirs. The US will send aid but will not directly engage Israel's enemies. Japan will join in on Israel's side after the radicals sink oil tankers on the way to Japan. The Russians will sit this one out. Turkey may or may not take part, but if they do it will be against Israel.

On February 13th, President Obama will be assassinated by ninjas. This will lead to a political crisis, which Sarah Palin will exploit to get elected to the White House. On August 18, in a public address to a worried nation, the Secretary of State will declare, 'Two nukes were not enough'. To prevent the destruction of the Holy Grail, Harry James Potter-Evans-Verres and the Organisation will forge a temporary alliance with the intent of neutralizing America's nuclear arsenal. The plan will fail because of sabotage by SEELE. In desperation, Harry Potter will kill every member of the American administration using the Death Note. He will be summoned by the Wizengamot to answer charges of violating the Statute of Secrecy. Having discovered the SEELE plot, however, he will go to Antarctica and attempt to stop it instead of returning to Britain. The Wizengamot will then rule for the repossession of the assets of Potter Finance, and Lord Draco Malfoy will be unable to overrule them. This will trigger civil war in Magical Britain, which will eventually engulf the rest of Magical Europe.

Meanwhile, in Japan, the remnants of the Tohsaka and Matou clans, the late Kiritsugu Emiya's band, and the Church will forge an alliance to deal with the combined forces of the Chaos Legion and the Organisation. They will be defeated, but Ginevra Weasley and Neville Longbottom will be assassinated by Shirou Emiya and Rin Tohsaka respectively. The Organisation and the Legion will try to backstab each other simultaneously, which the Integrated Data Entity and the Sky Canopy Dominion will try to take advantage of. Yuki Nagato will attempt to betray the Entity and will be deleted from existence as a consequence. In retaliation, Kyon will use his trump card on Haruhi Suzumiya, whose annoyance with this whole long-winded FUBAR will create a timequake so severe that it will cause the Second and Third Impacts to occur simultaneously, wiping out all life on earth except for a timid boy and a narcissistic girl with mommy issues. This will happen on December 21.

.... Wow, so the Mayans were right?

Comment author: Lleu 08 January 2012 07:39:34PM 5 points [-]

Do you actually have plans to write this? Because if you don't, I totally will, no matter how much research it takes me.

Comment author: Anubhav 09 January 2012 03:39:47AM *  2 points [-]

Go ahead. I do have plans to write an MoR x Nasuverse (x Haruhi?) fic, but that's far in the future, if ever. And this story is not that fic (though I picked up a few ideas from it).

How long do you intend to make it? It might be difficult to keep it funny if it goes on too long; this seems particularly vulnerable to Cerebus syndrome. (warning: TVTropes)

<mad science idea> Although if it were to be long, we could crowdsource the research/ checking story ideas for OOCness/ checking story ideas for humour quotient/ keeping track of what the different factions are doing. (LW discussion thread, maybe?) Of course, Eliezer would be horrified at the blatant proliferation of spoilers, but this needs to be done FOR SCIENCE!! (It annoys me that most of the evidence we have about spoilers comes from laboratory studies or anecdotal evidence, even though it's possible to do large-scale real-world experiments to answer the same questions.) </mad science idea>

Comment author: Lleu 09 January 2012 04:01:14AM 0 points [-]

I have absolutely no qualms with Cerberus syndrome.

To be honest, I'd envisioned it working more by taking the Rule of Cool to unprecedented extremes than humor.

What about 'crowdsourcing' the writing? Create a master plotline, then have an MoR expert fill in those parts, a Ben 10 expert write those, etc. Then have someone edit it for consistent voice or something. Of course, that's more of a group than a crowd, but whatever. It would simplify things, as I don't feel smart enough to write Harry James Potter-Evans-Verres correctly.

But seriously, is anyone interested in collaborating on this?

Comment author: Anubhav 09 January 2012 04:32:50AM 4 points [-]

Something like Gurren Lagann or Advent Children, then? Yeah, that'd work too. Except that in that case it probably wouldn't be best to end it with Third Impact, but now I'm getting ahead of myself.

I was thinking of crowdsourcing more along these lines: Someone outlines what's going to happen in the next few chapters. Someone else says 'that makes no sense; character A is acting way OOC.' Yet another person says, "Faction X wouldn't make that move, it's suicidal!!!" Another one says "Faction Y wouldn't think of that move based on the information they have available." And yet another says, "Faction Z won't keep quiet about this, they need to move now!" And one more says, "By rule of cool, event Q needs to happen NOW!!" Someone else says, "Also, event P makes no sense given the rules of this universe, it needs to be axed."

And after about a week of such squabbling, we've arrived at a coherent plot in which every character and faction acts in their best interests, based on the knowledge available to them and in accordance with their modus operandi and their competence. So someone writes that up while we move on to arguing about the next chapter.

This seems to me the simplest way of writing a fridge logic-free massively multiplayer crossover in which thirty xanatos pileups are inevitable.

I'll tap out of this discussion for a while now, waiting to see what other people say.

Comment author: Lleu 09 January 2012 11:54:55PM 0 points [-]

Well it looks like we're pretty much on the same page then. I'll go assemble a team of the best fanfic writers I can find. PM me if you're interested.

Comment author: AspiringKnitter 09 January 2012 04:12:24AM 0 points [-]

Maybe. Make it wiki-style or a publicly editable Google doc (is that possible?) and I'm probably in.

Comment author: Anubhav 28 January 2012 04:13:45AM 1 point [-]

Any idea what became of this? Lleu hasn't posted on LW since this thread.

Comment author: AspiringKnitter 09 January 2012 04:02:03AM 1 point [-]

DO WANT. I hope you play it for maximum melodrama.

Comment author: FeepingCreature 13 January 2012 11:20:51PM 0 points [-]