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D_Alex comments on New Year's Prediction Thread (2012) - Less Wrong
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I'll take that bet, conditional on your removing the "at least 40 hours" provision.
I'll take the bet because I want to encourage you to actually put in a good submission... I prefer the bet amount to be symbolic rather than substantial. I offer "the Groupon deal for dinner for two in the city of your residence", provided there is such a thing in the place where you live.
Are we on?
Sure. Let's just call it $25, since Groupon for my local area only has deals for towns 10 miles away.
I submitted what I think is a great entry, that took me around 100 hours of work + 20 hours from a partner. It's over 9000 words.
[Your bet would have been more usefully motivating if proposed before the paper was due]
Good to hear, and good luck (to the extent that luck is in fact involved...).
On reflection... you already had $5000 to aim for. So now the stakes are up by, heh, 1%.