gwern comments on New Year's Prediction Thread (2012) - Less Wrong

20 Post author: gwern 01 January 2012 09:35AM

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Comment author: gwern 24 January 2012 03:55:33AM 0 points [-]
  1. http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4952 and http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4945 are close
  2. Not recording; it's not going to pass, so of course the public outcry will die down.
  3. ? I wasn't aware Israel was at war
  4. http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5484
  5. http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5485
Comment author: Bugmaster 25 January 2012 04:18:14AM 0 points [-]

Looks like I was wrong about SOPA. I'm pretty happy to be wrong in this case !

As for Israel at war, the reason I said "armed hostilities" instead is exactly because Israel is not formally at war with anyone (that I know of). That's very different from being at peace, though.

Comment author: wedrifid 24 January 2012 06:36:09AM 0 points [-]

? I wasn't aware Israel was at war

I thought they'd been at war for the last 4k years!

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