Raemon comments on Rationality quotes January 2012 - Less Wrong

9 Post author: Thomas 01 January 2012 10:28AM

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Comment author: gwern 04 January 2012 02:54:45PM 3 points [-]

I see; but the predictions/questions wasn't were you aware of it at all, but were you planning to incorporate it ex ante, and did you ex post.

Comment author: Raemon 04 January 2012 09:30:39PM *  0 points [-]

If I had been thinking better I would have specified "did he know" rather than "did he plan" so that we could resolve the issue. (I think there is at least a 30% chance one (if not both) of us will have forgotten this wager by the time the reveal happens)

Comment author: gwern 03 April 2012 02:11:00PM 0 points [-]

I think there is at least a 30% chance one (if not both) of us will have forgotten this wager by the time the reveal happens

That's what PredictionBook is for. So far I have a good record for long-term use of it...