Vladimir_Nesov comments on Newcomb's problem - one boxer's introspection. - Less Wrong
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Comments (19)
I'm not sure if there is a way of easily pinpointing the problem with your reasoning, but the TDT paper is probably thorough enough to resolve it. See also Manfred's comment: if the psychologist is "one level higher than you", your reasoning could already be taken into account, and depending on how you reason, you could receive different reward.