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prase comments on Describe your personal Mount Stupid - Less Wrong
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Comments (47)
Yes, a complicated prior can be wronger than the simple one and usually is. I am sure I haven't disputed that.
Sorry, maybe I misread. The line I quoted above seemed to suggest that "if the laws of nature were complicated," then we would be better off having priors that favored complicated beliefs over simple ones — or at least considered them equal — rather than an Occam prior which favors simple beliefs.
I have suggested that we would be better off having priors which favour the exact way of how the laws are complicated. Of course, a general complicated prior wouldn't do the job.