Yes, the even/odd question splits people up so that I can have half the people answer the first question in an open-ended format and the second in the "closer to A or B" format, and vice versa for the other half. I thought about anchoring effects here as well, but I couldn't come up with any other easy way to split people up. Ideally, having Google Docs do the random split itself would be ideal, but it doesn't seem to have that capability.
If anyone knows another host for such polls that does allow randomization, please let me know.
Many of you will be familiar with the "Wisdom of the Crowd" - a phenomenon where the average result of a large poll of people's estimates tends to be very accurate, even when most people make poor estimates. I've written a short poll to test a small variant of this setup which I would like to test.
Please fill out this short poll.
Specifically, I want to see how the weighted average of the results performs when the question is posed as "is the value in question closer to A or B?" This change is inspired by your usual two-party election where people choose between two extreme values, when many voters have opinions in the middle of the two.
Thank you for helping!
I'm a little worried about anchoring in this survey. Suggestions for how to improve it would be appreciated.