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syllogism comments on What jobs are safe in an automated future? - Less Wrong
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Are you a grad student? Because I don't know much about theoretical physics, but I find it very hard to believe much academic research could be automated.
I'm a post-doc doing research on computational linguistics. I can't imagine automating my work.
Yes I am, and I'll soon start looking for PhD-positions either in physics or some interdisciplinary field of interest. I know I seem a bit over-optimistic, and that such radical changes may take maybe at least 30-50 years, but I'd guess most of us will be alive by then so its still relevant. My main point is that step by step theoretical tasks will move to the space of computation and the job of the theoretician will evolve to something else. If one day our computers in our computer aided research starts to output suggestions for models, or links between sets of data we haven't thought about comparing wouldn't those results actually be a collaboration between us and that system? You maybe cant imagine automating everything you do, but I'm sure you can imagine parts of your research being automated. That would allow you to use more mental resources for the conceptual and creative part of the research and so on..
When do you believe the first human-equivalent GAI will be created?
By human-equivalent i'd guess you mean equivalent in if not all, but in many different aspects of human intelligence. I wouldn't dare to have an opinion at the moment.
Anyone else?
You can't. Most can't, probably.
You have to come with some good reasons WHY that would be impossible.
Well I'm working on a sub-problem of artificial intelligence. So the task of designing a system to do my work is harder than the end-goal my work is trying to achieve!