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faul_sname comments on The lessons of a world without Hitler - Less Wrong
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I suspect that nuclear weapons would be invented before we as a species saw just how devastating a total war is. The next total war might not have happened until the 1950s, when militaries were that much more devastating.
The big assumption is that a world without WWII is always better, but it could easily be far, far worse as well.
I agree it could be worse as well. But it would have to be much worse, enough to account for the "badness" of WWII itself to be undesirable.