I feel like I've heard this claimed, too, but... where? I can't find it.
Yup, there it is! Thanks.
Eliezer tends to be more forceful on this than I am, though. I seem to be less certain about how much x-risk is purchased by donating to SI as opposed to donating to FHI or GWWC (because GWWC's members are significantly x-risk focused). But when this video was recorded, FHI wasn't working as much on AI risk (like it is now), and GWWC barely existed.
I am happy to report that I'm more optimistic about the x-risk reduction purchased per dollar when donating to SI now than I was 6 months ago. Because of stuff like this. We're getting ...
I intended Leveling Up in Rationality to communicate this:
But some people seem to have read it and heard this instead:
This failure (on my part) fits into a larger pattern of the Singularity Institute seeming too arrogant and (perhaps) being too arrogant. As one friend recently told me:
So, I have a few questions: