Self-reference and any more than a moderate degree of certainty about anything that isn't considered normal by whoever happens to be listening are both (at least, in my experience) considered less than discreet.
Trying to demonstrate that one isn't arrogant probably qualifies as arrogance, too.
I don't know how useful this observation is, but I thought it was at least worth posting.
I intended Leveling Up in Rationality to communicate this:
But some people seem to have read it and heard this instead:
This failure (on my part) fits into a larger pattern of the Singularity Institute seeming too arrogant and (perhaps) being too arrogant. As one friend recently told me:
So, I have a few questions: