Awesome.
A couple of points:
Any idea how these groups will coordinate with each other?
Out of the orgs that accept donations, who should I give money to?
I could believe that the answer to the second question is "it doesn't really matter at this point", but I'd like to hear a convincing argument. This SIAI vs. FHI post points very weakly in the direction of FHI.
An interesting twist is that the people best placed to answer "which orgs/interventions give best expected utility per marginal dollar" are probably the very same people that are working in these organizations.
I also still need to fully extinguish the hypothesis "these orgs are crazy and it's the rest of society that's sane (in terms of priorities)", before I give too much of my money away.
My guess is that you can purchase the most x-risk reduction by donating to either SI or FHI; the other orgs either don't exist yet or don't have much of a track record yet.
SI and FHI already coordinate with each other quite a bit. Leverage Research is composed of people who have significant contact with SI or were past visiting fellows/employees of SI.
For now, I won't say more than that.
Thanks - that fits with the general impression I've got.
I somehow missed the post on Leverage Research. I'd heard of them before but was put off by Connection Theory and all those flowcharts.
My guess is that you can purchase the most x-risk reduction by donating to either SI or FHI; the other orgs either don't exist yet or don't have much of a track record yet.
SI and FHI already coordinate with each other quite a bit. Leverage Research is composed of people who have significant contact with SI or were past visiting fellows/employees of SI.
For now, I won't say more than that.
Thanks - that fits with the general impression I've got.
I somehow missed the post on Leverage Research. I'd heard of them before but was put off by Connection Theory and all those flowcharts.
Of course: FHI, FutureTech, the Singularity Institute, and Leverage Research.
New: the Global Catastrophic Risk Institute (Seth Baum & Tony Barrett).
I've also heard that the following people are working to set up x-risk departments/organizations:
Huw Price at Cambridge
Newton Howard at MIT
Jeffrey Epstein