Nornagest comments on Thinking Bayesianically, with Lojban - Less Wrong

11 Post author: DataPacRat 24 January 2012 06:47PM

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Comment author: Nornagest 16 September 2013 02:49:07AM 3 points [-]

It seems to me that the way we talk about possibilities in English has a component of downside risk that isn't well captured by that ranking, especially at the extremes. I might comfortably refer to a 15% chance of losing twenty dollars as "remote", but the same certainly wouldn't be true of a 15% chance of losing my life.