Similar things have happened when you have stuck your neck out on decision theory for attentive experts to chop off.

Huh? Link/example?

Looking back at this exchange, I want to note that you were able to invert the public empirical data on this question, along with the several other errors elsewhere in this thread, despite (or because of) the overconfidence of your initial claims.

Inverting the replication results is the only error I see; I admitted to another error that I don't actually think was an error as such (I think I was trying too hastily to appear reasonable and conciliatory) and intend to go back and explain why I disagree. I made a bad analogy but that doesn't defeat the point I was trying to argue with the analogy.

Note that being flustered and making abnormal errors while arguing about parapsychology is exactly what my model of evasive psi predicts.