srdiamond comments on The Substitution Principle - Less Wrong
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Comments (64)
Figuring out the particular heuristic seems more interesting than useful - "don't trust immediate answers" is a good rule, but it seems easier to start again than to de-bias an immediate guess (i.e. look up average salaries instead of trying to figure out how much you need to discount your guess of doctors' average salaries.)
Good point. I think I mostly intended the second step to be a way for you to evaluate whether the heuristic you were using seems to be a reasonable one - there could be cases where you look at it and decide that it's probably good enough for your purposes.